Transitions
Tunisia's Date Exports: One Dollar of Water in Every Two
The fossil water behind Tunisia's exported dates is worth about half the revenue those exports earn — and falling water-per-tonne is hiding rising extraction.
Research
Policy briefs
Findings and recommendations addressed to policymakers, researchers, journalists, and civil society — grounded in the studio's empirical work.
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AI & Governance
Importing Intelligence: What Production-Centric AI Sovereignty Misses
A political-economy analysis of LLM token flow: dependence is concentrating in the flow layer — the gates every inference request must clear — not in who produces models.
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Southern Tunisia's Date Oases: Monitor the Aquifer, Not the Yields
Twenty-two years of satellite data: the aquifer is draining, harvests keep growing, but climate is starting to show through in good and bad years again.
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Sidi Bouzid's Solar Paradox: Diffusion Without a State
Seven points to understand how 3,201 solar pumps appeared in Sidi Bouzid without public subsidy, and what the 2025 Finance Law still needs to fix.
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Transitions
Tunisia's 2026 Oil Shock: A Six-to-Nine-Month Policy Window
A stress test of Tunisia's exposure to the 2026 Middle East oil shock, using IFs v8.28 across a moderate and a protracted scenario, with three sequenced policy recommendations.